Invicta Public Affairs’ Director Mark Cummings has argued last Thursday’s election results show a very fragmented picture and point to a new reality for British politics. Where in the past we would have seen a uniform sweep across local, national and devolved elections, the differential nature of voting throughout the UK now means far less political certainty.

Invicta Public Affairs has 15 years experience advising businesses across a range of sectors in Scotland, helping to navigate the often complex regulatory frameworks. The firm uses it’s expertise and experience in working with devolved Government to assist businesses throughout the UK in successfully navigating the challenges and opportunities that go hand in hand with greater decentralisation of powers.  

Reflecting on the implications of Thursday’s results Director of Invicta Public Affairs Mark Cummings explained:

“We are currently in a period of significant political change.  We see an electorate energised by the upcoming EU referendum and this is not necessarily good for businesses. The increase in support for UKIP in England and particularly Wales this week points to at least another 1-2 months of further political uncertainty as the referendum remains too close to call.”

While the results of the English Local Elections were largely unremarkable, Mr Cummings argues we are likely to see further fragmentation of voting patterns in England over the next few years as the planned devolution of powers to city regions becomes a reality. He explains the risks:

“There is still little certainty as to the expected political makeup of these devolved bodies or how they would operate. The truth is we don’t know how voters will react when asked to vote for a regional mayor but our experience working with devolved government suggests to us it will deviate from traditional voting patterns.

“As is the case with the EU referendum and the threat of a further vote for Scottish Independence, the lack of certainty engendered by these proposed changes ultimately discourages businesses from making investments and will stymie growth in the areas impacted.”

The results last week in Scotland on the other hand seem to signal an unexpected period of much needed political stability. He continued:

“The SNP’s failure to secure an overall parliamentary majority means they are far less likely to seek to push through a further independence referendum during this parliament. Without the necessary backing from MSPs they would struggle to get enough support for such a vote.

“This is excellent news for businesses in Scotland; it has reached a period of relative political normality and the leadership can now look forward to bringing in their programme of Government without the constitutional wrangling that dogged the previous Parliament.”